At some point, Stuart and Martin County will begin to reopen. Much of how we react to the lifting of restrictions will depend on when it occurs, what are the phases, and how others behave.
Governor DeSantis will need to be clear on what he is intending to do and accomplish. That will mean his orders will have to be written so that Floridians will clearly understand them. He will have to give some discretion to local governments to tailor his orders to local needs and sensibilities.
The ultimate arbiter of what happens will be the collective responses of individuals. Before the shutdown, we all had our own routines. For me, going back to mine will be different than for you going back to your routine. Even when everything opens, will people immediately resume their old patterns?
Some of us will not be returning to crowded golf courses at first. Others will be circumspect about frolicking on the beach or hitting balls at the tennis courts. Many, on the other hand, may be back golfing, swimming, and hitting balls as soon as possible. How many though will resume those activities with a little trepidation?
Before the time of corona, many of us would go out to lunch several times a week with others. Breaking bead with a person leads to a rapport that you cannot get any other way. This activity may resume very slowly. Going forward will we think this social and intimate lunch could be a breeding ground for the spread of the virus.
Two months ago, my wife and I would go out to dinner once or twice per week. Since the lock down that has been a thing of the past. The restaurant experience of being served by a competent professional who makes customers welcome is a big part of the charm. It was special as opposed to sitting at the kitchen table. Will we feel the same if the server is in gloves and mask?
Many enjoyed having friends over for dinner at our homes. Like many I would hope at some point to resume that. Every time there is a sneeze, or a cough will a little apprehension be felt at the table.
Except for our forays out for grocery shopping, many have kept close to home. My car has not needed a fill up for a month, and I still have more than half a tank. If you enjoyed travelling pre-pandemic how many have had to cancel plans?
I would go up north for business and to see family regularly. Sometimes, I flew twice a month to New York City. I treated JetBlue as a commuter line. I have not taken a flight since March 7th. And while I miss the family, I do not think I will be travelling as much for business going forward.
Other things will change for many of us. Will we visit retail stores less? Have we become a little more use to the convenience of buying online? For many products you can do your shopping while watching television. Does this drive another nail in mom and pop type stores’ demise?
Each of us will adjust our life as restrictions are lifted. I am assuming that as those restrictions are lifted, people will act rationally because the virus is still out there. If restrictions need to be re-imposed, then that will be a blow to our psyches. Open and closing businesses may create insurmountable challenges for many businesses ever being able to reopen after repeated shutdowns. That is just a fact. Confidence is shaky at best.
We had riots in the street over the Vietnam War. Over more than a dozen years, U.S. casualties for that conflict were less than 2 months of COVID-19. That experience profoundly changed how my generation saw our government and society. This will probably do the same for millennials and the generation still attending school.
This pandemic will have even more of an effect than any occurrence since the Great Depression. Our economy has not even begun to process all the ramifications. How many people will go back to work? How long will it take to achieve less than 3% unemployment again, if ever.
Our nation and the world are changed. Things we have taken for granted will be different. The restaurant and hospitality industry will be forever altered. More jobs will be automated so that there will be less human contact. Commercial real estate will undergo a transformation as working from home will become more common and social distancing a new norm.
H.G. Wells authored a book in 1933 tilled, The Shape of Things to Come. It is a work of science fiction regarding a pandemic, depression, and eternal war. Though fiction it predicted World War II and the carpet bombing of civilians in cities. What we are living through now many of us would think a year ago could never happen. That we would be protected in our cocoon.
Changes will occur because individuals will make decisions based on their experiences with the pandemic. It may take years to know and understand the lasting effects. One of the biggest changes will be that the baby boomers will finally cede power to those of Generation X and the Millennials. They will be the ones deciding what is important in our society and what is not. That is not a bad thing going forward.

